Quant Portfolios Surge: Weekly +30%, Quant 30 +20%, Legacy Up +220% Amid Shutdown Talk – Update 10/03/2025

After the summary “How does a US government shutdown effect the stock market?” are the Portfolio updates.

Overall Market

  • Shutdowns barely dent stocks—S&P 500 fell only ~2% on average during past standoffs.
  • Example: 2013 shutdown (16 days)—S&P slipped ~3% during, then rallied +10% in the next 3 months.
  • 2018–19 shutdown (35 days)—S&P gained +11% in the following month.
  • Bottom line: short-term chop, then a rebound. Bigger drivers remain earnings and Fed policy.

Sectors & Assets

  • Defense, healthcare, IT contractors risk delays in federal payments.
  • Treasuries and gold usually catch a bid; bond yields slide.
  • Dollar weakens as global investors side-eye U.S. dysfunction.
  • Healthcare could take a hit if ACA credits lapse.

Economic Fallout

  • Each week closed shaves ~0.1–0.2% off GDP, usually recouped later.
  • Key data releases (jobs, inflation) get delayed, leaving the Fed and Wall Street flying blind.
  • Long impasses hit confidence, chilling consumer spending and business hiring.

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Micron Technology added just last week to this Portfolio, is already up 17.1% since added! This shows the importance of having up-to-date Add/Remove data to work with.

Performance to 10-02-2025

Portfolio start date 6/27/25
Quant Alpha Weekly30.17%
EQAL (Russell 1000 Equal Weight ETF)6.66%
Portfolio start date 6/27/25
Quant 3020.26%
EQAL (Russell 1000 Equal Weight ETF)6.66%
Portfolio start date 4/14/23Live
Quant Alpha’s – Legacy240.72%
EQAL (Russell 1000 Equal Weight ETF)30.41%

The Quant Alpha Weekly Portfolio continues it’s steady increase in new members and remains substantially ahead of its benchmark. Up over +30% since it began on June 27. 2025.

The Quant 30 Portfolio had no changes this week. It managed to close ahead of the benchmark once again. Up +20% since June 27, 2025

The Quant Alpha’s – Legacy Portfolio maintained its over +220% return in a classic Position Trading Portfolio implementation.

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