Market Risk Off in control – Quant Model Portfolios take it on the chin -Update 11/9/26


  • Quant Alpha’s II – Up over 30% since June 2025
  • Quant 30 – Up over 32% since June 2025
  • Quant Alpha’s – Legacy – Up over 240% since April 2023
  • Education – What are ten baggers and how to spot them
  • Quick Links

USA Stock market week ending 11/6/26

  • SPY (S&P 500): -2.7% — The S&P 500 suffered a significant weekly decline, reflecting broad weakness among large-cap stocks.
  • DIA (Dow Jones Industrial Average): -1.0% — The Dow was the best-performing major index, although it still finished the week lower.
  • ^IXIC (Nasdaq Composite): -3.4% — The Nasdaq underperformed, reflecting renewed selling pressure in technology and growth stocks.
  • IWM (Russell 2000): -2.0% — Small-cap stocks declined, adding to the week’s broad market weakness.
  • SPMO (Invesco S&P 500 Momentum ETF): -8.7% — Momentum stocks were hit particularly hard, significantly underperforming the broader market.

Market Drivers this Week (11/9/26 –11/13/26)

MONDAY, NOVEMBER 9

  • Before the open: Constellation Energy (CEG), NRG Energy (NRG) and KKR.
  • After the close: Take-Two Interactive (TTWO), Rocket Lab (RKLB) and Occidental Petroleum (OXY).

TUESDAY, NOVEMBER 10

  • 8:30 a.m. ET: October Consumer Price Index (CPI), the week’s key inflation report. Investors will focus on headline and core inflation for signs of whether price pressures are easing.
  • After the close: CoreWeave (CRWV), an important indicator of AI infrastructure and data-center demand.

WEDNESDAY, NOVEMBER 11

  • U.S. stock markets remain open, but the bond market is closed for Veterans Day.

THURSDAY, NOVEMBER 12

  • After the close: Cisco Systems (CSCO) and Applied Materials (AMAT).

FRIDAY, NOVEMBER 13

  • 8:30 a.m. ET: October PPI provides another measure of inflation, focusing on prices received by producers.

The CNN Fear & Greed Index continues to reflect deeply negative investor sentiment, finishing November 6 at 22 (Extreme Fear). The index has remained predominantly in Fear territory throughout the past 10 weeks, with readings falling into Extreme Fear on October 16, October 23 and November 6. Although sentiment briefly improved to Neutral at 45 on October 9, that recovery proved short-lived. The latest reading of 22 compares with 42 on September 4, highlighting a significant deterioration in market psychology. Investor confidence remains fragile, with fear and risk aversion dominating market sentiment.


The Quant Model Portfolios had a bad week along with momentum stocks in general. Former market leaders are now deemed to be in the Wall Street doghouse. This has happened many times in the past and as long as the former market leaders maintain their growth, they bounce back aggressively, eventually. One bright spot was the Quant Dividend and Growth Model Portfolio. It did not drop much during last weeks panic selloff.


Portfolio Changes

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Model Portfolio Quant Alpha’s II

This week’s new update, if any, is being released to the paid subscribers. This Portfolio continues to significantly outperform its benchmark, 30% versus 20%. It has 31 members.

Table titled "Quant Alpha's II - Active Positions" listing tickers, add dates, and profit or loss percentages for MU, SSRM, PARR, SEZL, and NUTX.

Model Portfolio Quant 30

This week’s new update, if any, is being released to the paid subscribers. This Portfolio continues to beat its benchmark by a wide margin, 32% to 20%. It has 30 members in it.

Table titled "Quant 30 - Active Positions" listing tickers, add dates, and profit/loss percentages for MU, BTSG, LITE, PARR, and FRO.

Model Portfolio Dividend and Growth 25

This week’s new update if any is being released to the paid subscribers. The Portfolio is up +1% and the benchmark was up +0% since 9/28/26.


Model Portfolio Quant Top Stocks

The portfolio is -24% with the benchmark +1%.

A Thursday morning post will update the Adds and Removals for this Portfolio.

Added Thursday: (VAC)-Marriott Vacations Worldwide

Spreadsheet table titled “Quant Top Stocks - Active Positions” listing tickers, add dates, and profit/loss percentages for VSXY, PSX, CNC, PBF, and AMZN.

Model Portfolio Quant Alpha’s – Legacy

The portfolio is up over +240% since it began in 2023. It has 17 stocks in it. Powell industries is now a 6 bagger. Celestica is now a 7 bagger

Spreadsheet titled “Quant Alpha's Legacy - Active Positions” listing stock tickers, add dates, purchase prices, current prices, dividends, and profit/loss percentages.
Table titled "Quant Alpha's Legacy - Active Positions" listing tickers, add dates, and profit/loss percentages.

Portfolio Performance

Performance to 11-6-2026

Table comparing portfolio start dates, Quant strategy performance, and Russell 1000 Equal Weight ETF returns, including percentage values.

Investment Education

What are ten baggers and how to spot them

What’s a Ten-Bagger

  • A “ten-bagger” is a stock (or investment) that goes up ten times your original purchase price. If you buy a share at $10, a ten-bagger would see it hit $100.
  • The term was popularized by Peter Lynch in One Up On Wall Street.

How People Try to Spot Them Before They Pop

These are not guarantees — just what tends to line up in companies that blow up:

  1. Early phase with room to grow — smaller or mid-cap firms, often in growth sectors where demand is expanding.
  2. Innovative edge or unique product/service that solves something big or disrupts existing markets. If they’re just another copy, less chance.
  3. Reasonable valuation early on — not overpriced. If you pay too much, even great growth is hampered. Lynch preferred stocks with P/E ratios modest compared to peers or their past.
  4. Strong earnings growth over years, not just hype for a quarter. Must show consistency.
  5. Good financial fundamentals — manageable debt, positive cash flow, ability to reinvest and scale without collapsing under costs.
  6. Large total addressable market (TAM) — the bigger the potential market, the more room to run. If the market is niche and saturated, upside can be limited.
  7. Durability / strong moat — a competitive advantage (brand, tech, regulatory, network effect) that keeps competitors from eating your lunch.
  8. Long‐term holding — you need patience. These ten-baggers often take many years to hit the 10x mark.

In Summary:

Finding a ten-bagger ahead of time means spotting companies that are just starting to scale, doing it smart, and getting in early — with guts to hold through the shakeouts.

Quick Links


All content on this site is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Consult relevant financial professionals in your country of residence to get personalized advice before you make any trading or investing decisions. This post was written with the assistance of artificial intelligence. The original ideas and final review are human-generated. Disclaimer